Fusion Dreams and Realities

What if we could harness the same process that powers the sun to create clean, nearly limitless energy here on Earth? Nuclear fusion has captured global attention as a potential breakthrough in the fight for a sustainable future. Often called the “holy grail” of energy, it promises abundant, carbon-free power with minimal waste.

Yet fusion is far from being a practical energy solution. Its greatest potential lies in complementing nuclear fission, the proven, scalable technology that has reliably powered the world for generations. Together, these technologies could shape a balanced and sustainable energy future.

Fission splits heavy atoms like uranium, releasing energy in a chain reaction. This method has powered cities since the mid-20th century and currently generates about 10% of global electricity, with nearly 70% of France’s electricity coming from nuclear fission. While it produces long-lived radioactive waste requiring careful storage, advances in closed-fuel cycles are addressing this challenge by recycling used fuel into new material, significantly reducing waste and extending fuel supplies.

Fusion, in contrast, combines light atoms like hydrogen into helium, releasing even more energy than fission. It’s cleaner, producing only short-lived waste, and inherently safe. If something disrupts the reaction, it stops. However, achieving fusion on Earth requires recreating conditions hotter than the sun’s core, an enormous scientific challenge.

Think of it this way: fission is like breaking a large puzzle into smaller pieces, while fusion is gluing tiny pieces together to create something larger. Both release energy, but fusion remains the harder puzzle to solve, and that’s what makes it so exciting.

At the heart of fusion lies plasma, a superheated state of matter where atoms lose their electrons and move freely. To achieve fusion, hydrogen fuel must be heated to over 100 million degrees Celsius, more than six times hotter than the sun’s core. At these temperatures, hydrogen nuclei fuse, releasing immense energy.

Containing plasma is a major challenge. It must be kept from touching the reactor walls or cooling down, using magnetic fields or lasers to suspend it, like holding a jellyfish midair without letting it touch anything. This intricate engineering feat is what makes fusion so difficult to scale.

Fusion’s unparalleled energy density means that a single glass of seawater contains enough hydrogen to power a home for an entire year, making it an abundant and clean fuel source that could revolutionize energy. Despite this potential, scaling fusion to commercial viability remains a significant hurdle.

Fusion research is advancing rapidly. In 2021, China’s Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST), often called the “Artificial Sun,” set records by sustaining plasma at over 160 million degrees Celsius for 20 seconds and maintaining high-temperature plasma for 400 seconds. The United States has also made significant strides. In December 2022, the National Ignition Facility (NIF) achieved “net energy gain,” generating more energy from a fusion reaction than was used to start it. By February 2024, NIF surpassed this milestone, producing 5.2 megajoules of energy, sparking renewed global optimism.

In Japan, the Fusion by Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (FAST) project, launched in 2024, is targeting fusion-based power generation by the late 2030s. Japan’s expertise in supercomputing is optimizing plasma simulations, while companies like Kyoto Fusioneering develop integrated power systems. Europe’s ITER project, the largest fusion experiment in history, unites 35 nations in a shared mission to achieve sustained fusion reactions. Often called the “CERN of fusion,” ITER represents the spirit of global collaboration needed to tackle fusion’s technical challenges.

Fusion is not yet scalable because it cannot efficiently or affordably meet global energy demands. Sustaining extreme temperatures, precise plasma containment, and advanced materials remain unresolved engineering feats. While ITER aims for first plasma by 2034, large-scale fusion energy is unlikely before 2050, according to most experts.

In contrast, nuclear fission is already scalable. Advanced technologies like small modular reactors (SMRs) are making fission safer, more adaptable, and cost-effective. SMRs typically generate between 50 to 300 megawatts of electricity, compared to over 1,000 megawatts from traditional reactors, making them ideal for smaller grids, industrial hubs, or remote regions. Their modular design allows for factory production, reducing construction costs and timelines by up to 30%. For instance, an SMR can be built and deployed in under five years, compared to a decade or more for a conventional reactor.

SMRs also incorporate cutting-edge safety features, such as passive cooling systems that require no active intervention and accident-tolerant fuels that withstand higher temperatures. Coupled with closed-fuel cycles that recycle nuclear waste into usable material, these advancements demonstrate how fission continues to evolve to meet modern energy demands efficiently and sustainably.

Fusion offers extraordinary potential, and breakthroughs in the U.S, Japan, China, and Europe show that progress is accelerating. However, fusion is not a replacement for fission. Its greatest value lies in complementing fission’s proven scalability and reliability, creating a balanced and sustainable energy future.

Although fusion’s development is ongoing, each achievement, from net energy gain to record-breaking plasma temperatures, brings us closer to unlocking its potential. Together, fusion and fission are paving the way for a cleaner, more resilient energy landscape.

Taiga Cogger

Got Nuclear
A Project of the Anthropocene Institute